Sample Assignment: Influenza Case Study
Each January, epidemiologists meet to examine flu situations around the world to determine which strains will likely be prevalent in the future and which will not. Using this knowledge, scientists are able to make predictions about what kind of vaccine is needed.
Your Assignment:There's been a flu outbreak near a pig farm in Mexico, and scientists need your help. Using three provided sets of data, make a determination about how severe this flu strain will be.
Data Sets:
- The rates of infection and mortality in the Mexico outbreak.
- The rates of infection and mortality in a typical US flu season.
- The rates of infection and mortality during the 1918 Spanish influenza, a particularly bad year.
Process:
Compare the current situation in Mexico with a typical situation and the worst situation. Describe the three scenarios and use them to make a prediction using the following steps:
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Graph the data and compare it
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Find the slope (use two coordinates)
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Write an equation for the line and use that equation to make a prediction
# Killed / # Infected = slope or, mortality rate.